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Baltimore suffered a surprise overtime loss at the hands of the Chicago Bears last weekend and they have struggled somewhat on the road. This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right, but there is value in the Total Points betting market. The Chiefs have won their past eight games on the road and even more impressive is the fact that they have covered the line in each of these wins.
After a Week 1 loss to the Raiders, the Ravens have won five straight. The under has gone 9-3 in the past 12 games that a home favorite is coming off a winning streak of at least five. It is thus little surprise that our model projects the Packers to both win and cover this week. We give the Packers an 84.1% chance of winning and a 61.3% chance of covering the 7.5-point spread.
Week 9 Previews
If you bet the 37.5 OVER, you are hoping this will be a high-scoring NFL game. On the other hand, a positive value http://congresoinnovacionlean.com/parlay-definition-meaning/ on the same game (+11.5) means the underdog starts with an 11.5-point lead before the game even begins. In NFL online betting, the favorite must win by 12 points or more to cover the NFL spread. The dog is able to lose by 11 points and still cover the spread.
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Expect a sloppy game between the two winless teams, and the one with the least mistakes to walk away with their first win of the year. Don’t expect much hope this week as they host arguably the best team in the NFC, the San Francisco 49ers. Kyle Murray and Kliff Kingsbury have been growing every week it seems, and their offense is becoming a formidable foe for many opposing defenses. The fast paced, no huddle offense has been tough to stop in recent weeks as they seem to be finding their groove of late. They’ve been competitive in all of their games thus far this season, but they’ll need more from their defense if they want to make a run to the playoffs.
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The fact that their defense gave up 122 yards to Miami’s Jay Ajayi last week is not good news either. The Chiefs may have the league’s Rookie of the Year in Kareem Hunt, who has accounted for 355 total yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns. Leading the NFL’s second-best scoring offense (31.4 points per game) is second-year quarterback Carson Wentz, who has 2,262 passing yards and 23 touchdowns.
New York Jets + At New England Patriots
Losing RB Christian McCaffrey is a big blow to this offense, showing in Sam Darnold’s stats. Yes, he engineered two touchdown drives with less than two minutes on the clock, but the numbers speak for themselves. With a 2-12 third-down efficiency, this offense is spinning its wheels. The Panthers at Giants brings some intriguing choices to NFL bettingenthusiasts in Week 7. Pickswise.com identifies some parlays to consider betting in Week 7 of the NFL season. BettingPros.com ranks the top five prop bets for Week 7 of the NFL season.
What both the Titans and the Raiders must improve upon this season is their pass defense. While second against the run, Tennessee was 30th (269.2) in pass defense. The Titans will have their hands full trying to slow down what may be the best one-two receiving tandem in the NFL in Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree. Quarterback Derek Carr threw for 3,937 yards and 28 touchdowns and should be fully recovered from the leg injury that ended his season in Week 16 last year.
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The Bears are giving up 218.2 passing yards per game this season – ranking 8th in the league. PFF’s weekly betting guide is your go-to reference for placing those all-important NFL and college football bets, whether you’re wagering on the game’s spread, total or player props. Each week of the season, I provide a first glance at the upcoming NFL slate through the lens of lookahead lines.